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The Jon’s five most overrated players

Fantasy baseball writers like to feel special. They like to make bold predictions of players that will breakout so they can puff out their chest and tell a faceless community that they told you so. You won’t get that from The Jon. What you got here is a champ. The Jon gets results and trophies. With top three finishes for the past 5 seasons and a championship just this past year, The Jon doesn’t need bold predictions. Just results. So without further to do, here are the five most overrated players this season.

Carl Crawford: It’s a broken record. Check out this sight long enough and you will know the quasi-love-hate relationship The Jon has for Carl Crawford. The Jon loves to hate him and has been hating him for about a year. Everyone gushes over his five-tool potential. Umm, you need to hit more than 15 homers to be even considered to be a five-tooler.

Crawford had two hot months last season where he had more than 30 hits. In August he had 50 hits and unless your name is Ichiro, that is a freak performance. But one great month vaults Crawford in the top 10 of overall players?

As compared to Ichiro having at least 42 hits for four months? But Crawford’s steals!!! Big deal. Steals are one stat that can maybe lead to a run. Getting on base with a hit leads to batting average, on-base percentage, runs and … steals.

A five-tool player at least needs to have 100 runs or 100 RBI with a respectable number in either category. Crawford failed to break 100 in either. Get Vladimir Guerrero, Alfonso Soriano, Carlos Lee, Grady Sizemore, Curtis Granderson and yes, Ichiro before Crawford. he sucks.

Brandon Phillips: The Jon had this guy and I turned my season around because of him. The Jon traded him. A lot of mags has Phillips as the No. 2 second baseman behind Chase Utley. Phillips is solid, but let’s keep it in perspective. Don’t reach for him in the first two rounds. A manager will be fine with B.J. Upton, Robinson Cano, Placido Polanco and Freddy Sanchez. These guys all have longer track record than Phillips with the exception of Upton. Phillips has one good season. He can be the next Robinson Cano or the next Dan Uggla. The Jon hopes he is Cano. The world can always use a another good second baseman.

Jimmy Rollins: He has been fantasy baseball’s best kept secret. He could be had in the 10th round … until now. A lot of fantasy baseballers have the guy penciled in as the No. 1 overall shortstop after his 30 homers, 94 RBI and 41 stolen bases.

Rollins is great, but not as a No. 1. Here’s Rollins secret for his numbers: He gets a lot of at-bats. He led MLB last season with 716. Last season he was fourth with 689. With that many at-bats, you are going to get the numbers. Here is the telling stat with Rollins: He has never hit .300 for an entire season.
Jose Reyes hit/at-bat ration last season? 191/681.
Hanley Ramirez? 212/639.
Rollins: 212/716.
What about those 30 homers? Hanley had 29 and he was hurt. Decide for yourself.

Yovani Gallardo: He is being ranked ahead of Roy Halladay, Fausto Carmona, Felix Hernandez, Javier Vazquez, John Smoltz, Carlos Zambrano, Chad Billingsley … you get the point.
Ummm, he’s a second-year starter … for Milwaukee.

No.

Daisuke Matsuzaka: 4.40 ERA. Gave up five or more earned runs in 9 starts. No gyroball pitch. Fukudome, Dice K.

6 Responses

  1. I agree with all your picks except Crawford. Maybe he didn’t have his best season but he still gives his team good numbers and support in all the categories.

    It’s true what you said about rollins, he’s going way too fast in the drafts and his AVG is not the best.

    I am not even gonna talk about Matsuzaka because that was a major bust. It was like last year when SF fans thought that Zito was the solution to their problems. WRONG!!!!

  2. Thanks Osfmany!
    Ah, but you hit on Crawford. His stats support your team. He is a secondary producer on fantasy teams. Not a franchise producer.
    Check out how Ichiro beats in commercials here:
    http://thebaseballstars.com/2008/02/06/ichiro-vs-crawford/

  3. I’m upset to see Phillips up there as over-rated. He was consistent the entire season… potential .300 hitter… 30/30 2B is pretty good imo. … But I’ll give ya a big thumbs up by putting Carl Crawford at the top of the list. I hate him just as much as Lance Berkman.

  4. Yeah, i really wanted to blast Brandon Phillips. I played that guy for only two weeks. His number are just very quiet.
    Phillips is a steady player and needs one more year like last season to back up the hype. I put him in the second tier where there are plenty of options behind the first tier in Chase Utley.
    The Jon’s point was not to reach high for him and sacrifice picking a more deserving player.

  5. That’s a good five. I like Gallardo a lot, but there is no justifying him going before the other studs, even if he is half Smoltz’s age.

    And there is no doubt that Crawford is overrated. Although I did have him in my top three outfielders …

    http://thebaseballstars.com/2008/02/05/newspapermans-2008-top-20-of-rankings/

    Funny thing is I look at those rankings right now, and I can’t believe I have Crawford higher than Sizemore. I think the batting average tricked me that day.

  6. somewhere, Grady Sizemore is crying. his favorite fan in a pink teddy went over to carl crawford.

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